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First snow of the season is possible this weekend

Alberta Clipper swings through
Posted at 7:35 AM, Nov 10, 2021
and last updated 2021-11-12 12:07:31-05

CINCINNATI — The 9 First Warning Weather Team is keeping a close eye on Sunday's forecast for the potential of snow for the first time this season.

We are still tracking a quick-moving clipper system for the weekend. Specifically, it would bring moisture into our area on Sunday. We've been watching the models all week and while it's been somewhat consistent, there are still fluctuations in this system. Basically, it's not guaranteed to snow. The latest models coming in this morning showed the system staying more to the north (GFS) and not giving us any snow, whereas the European model still brings in the mix Sunday afternoon.

Currently, it looks like the best time to see spotty snow showers mixed with rain would be late Sunday morning into the afternoon and evening. Clipper systems are typically rather limited with moisture, so this isn't going to be a huge event. It's most noteworthy because it's the first possible snow chance of the season.

Updated snow chance for Sunday

At this point, we are not putting numbers for snowfall on this system. Even in the last three days of monitoring it, the numbers have fluctuated with every possible model data analysis.

One of the biggest items to take from this is the overall impact this will have on us. Even if we were to see some light accumulating snow Sunday afternoon, it would melt quickly. The pavement temperature will still be above freezing. Even the ground temperature is warm. Often times what we see when these early snow events come in is snow falling and melting upon hitting the road. It sometimes accumulates on elevated surfaces or even the grass. But even there it doesn't last long.

WCPO will continue to update this forecast leading up to Sunday.