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Severe weather & flooding threat for the Tri-State the next three days

Flooding potential as we move through the next 48 hours
Cars in heavy rain
Posted at 4:15 AM, Mar 31, 2024
and last updated 2024-03-31 22:31:44-04

After a great Easter afternoon we are seeing some storms fire up along a boundary in Ohio and we have a few more possible as we head into the overnight tonight.

These storms could be strong, possibly severe as they move in. The Storm Prediction Center has placed us in a "Marginal Risk" (GREEN) and "Slight Risk" (YELLOW) for severe weather which is level 1 and 2 of 5, respectively. The main threats today will be large hail, but strong straight-line winds will be possible too. Wind today is back to the south which will warm things back up into the mid to high 60s. Look for a high today around 68°.

The best timing for storms to occur Sunday evening will be after 8 p.m. and would last until 3 a.m. The bigger impact is likely to be north of the Ohio River.

Day1
Severe Weather Threat for Sunday, March 31, 2024

More rain is expected for some overnight into early Monday, with an increase during the morning commute possible as well. That rain impact is expected between 6 a.m. to 10 a.m before a potential midday break. That break allows for more warmth and that will bring out temperatures back into the low 70s. With that, we will build a lot more energy for another round of storms for the afternoon. This poses a threat for more severe weather. The Storm Prediction Center has placed us in a "Slight Risk" for severe weather in Cincinnati and much of the Tri-State. Winds, hail, and tornadoes all look to be possible. The best timing for that will be between 3 p.m. and 9 p.m.

Day 2
Severe Weather Threat for Monday, April 1, 2024

Heavier rain will be possible overnight Monday into Tuesday as well as the active pattern continues. Tuesday will be another stormy day with waves of showers and storms. This could be our best chance for severe weather as well, as the SPC has already placed us under an "Enhanced Risk", (level 3 of 5). All forms of severe weather will be possible, including large hail, damaging wind, and tornadoes.

Day 3
Severe Weather Threat for Tuesday, April 2, 2024

Outside of the rain, Tuesday will be very windy. Gusts from the southwest and west could reach 40 to 45 mph at times. On top of that, temperatures will be back into the upper 60s. Outside of the severe weather factors, flooding will be an impact as well. A Flood Watch has been issued for the entire Tri-State through Tuesday night at 8 p.m. as we expect to see some very heavy rainfall. Most areas should wind up with between 2 to 5 inches of rainfall, with localized heavier amounts definitely possible.

The rain wraps up late Tuesday and from there we see a huge drop in temperatures for the middle of the week. Wednesday's high will be in the 40s and we could even see a few isolated areas of showers, maybe mixing in with some sleet. Still early, but something there to watch as well. Thursday looks even colder with a high of 43°.

EASTER SUNDAY
Evening storms
Some strong
High: 68

TONIGHT
Scattered storms
Some strong
Low: 58

MONDAY
More rain and storms
Severe weather chance
Temp: 72

MONDAY NIGHT
Severe storm threat
Heavy rain
Low: 60

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