Strong & severe storms possible today & Monday

Heat and humidity building too
Storm Prediction Center Slight Risk for Sunday
Posted at 4:00 AM, Jun 12, 2022
and last updated 2022-06-12 21:20:47-04

Humidity has definitely jumped up across the Tri-State this weekend and that trend will continue as we move through the day today. It is definitely apparent out there as you walk outside.

Clouds have been persistent for much of the day which has helped keep temperatures down slightly, but it still is sticky out there. We will likely top out in the low to mid 80s. There have been a few scattered showers today and they will be with us on and off the rest of the afternoon and evening. There may also be a few storms.

Storm Prediction Center Slight Risk for Sunday
Storm Prediction Center Slight Risk for Sunday

The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has the western half of the Tri-State in a Slight Risk (level 2 of 5) for severe storms this afternoon and evening. There are still question marks on whether these do develop, but if they do, they will bring potential for strong wind and large hail. The good news, I don’t expect a tornado threat with these storms as they move in. These storms will be moving in from the northwest, if they develop, and the best timeframe looks to be after 7 p.m., possibly closer to 8 p.m.

Scattered showers and storms will still be possible overnight as well with mostly cloudy skies. Temperatures will be very warm today, staying into the upper 60s and low 70s. Storms could also lead to some localized flooding as many spots have seen some heavy rainfall over the last few weeks.

Monday SPC Outlook
Monday SPC Outlook

Monday will be the start of our first heat wave of 2022. We’ll also have another chance at showers and storms, some which could be strong and severe. The SPC has the entire Tri-State in a Marginal Risk on Monday. All forms of severe weather would be possible if we see storms, with wind and hail the primary concern. However, there may be enough shear in the atmosphere to create a tornado threat if the front is over our area.

Either way, it will be a hot and humid day on Monday with temperatures into the upper 80s and low 90s. Humidity levels will make it feel much warmer, with potential heat index values into the upper 90s.

Expected heat index through the week
Expected heat index through the week

Unfortunately, it just gets hotter from there. Tuesday and Wednesday look to be hottest days of the week. High temperatures will be between 93° and 97° both days, and with the high humidity the “feels like” temperatures will be near 105°, if not higher. That is dangerous heat, and near Excessive Heat Warning criteria. High temperatures will be close to record breaking in some spots! Make sure you start hydrating now!

It doesn’t look like we will get a break until next weekend, which will still be warm in the mid to upper 80s.

Partly to mostly cloudy
Afternoon t'storms
High: 84

Warm & muggy
Scattered storms possible
High: 83

Mostly cloudy
Scattered storms
Low: 70

MONDAYHot & humid
A few storms possible
High: 90

Scattered storms early
Warm & muggy
Low: 76

Clearing skies
Very hot & humid
High: 96

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