November to see warmest start in 13 years

Temps to be 20 degrees above normal
Sunny skies
Posted at 3:01 PM, Oct 28, 2016

CINCINNATI -- When November arrives next week, temperatures are forecasted to be near 80 degrees, which is about 20 degrees above normal.

The normal daily high for November 1 is 60 degrees.

The last time the Tri-State saw November temperatures this unseasonably warm was in 2003 when there were five consecutive days of temperatures in the 70s.

November 2003

  • November 1, 2003 : 71
  • November 2, 2003: 77
  • November 3, 2003: 77
  • November 4, 2003: 78
  • November 5, 2003: 72

So what kind of winter followed this impressive push of warm air leading up to the 2013-2014 winter season?

Interestingly enough, the 2013-2014 winter season saw a nearly average season of temperatures and precipitation.

Snowfall totals from November to February were at 20.4”, with January seeing the most snow. The average annual snowfall for Cincinnati is 22.1”.

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) has put out its 2016-2017 winter forecast, and the Tri-State falls under a slightly wetter than normal winter with near equal chances of average temperatures.

This forecast is based on a weakened state of La Nina.

La Nina patterns tend to lead to drier and warmer conditions across the southern U.S., based upon the positioning of the jet stream. La Nina also leads to cooler and wetter conditions across the northern U.S.