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Survey USA Results: More Indiana Voters Favor Baron Hill


Last Update: 7/31/2008 11:11 am

Here Are The Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #14155

Geography Surveyed: IN 9th Congressional District
Data Collected: 07/28/2008 - 07/30/2008
Release Date: 07/31/2008 10:55 ET
Sponsors: WCPO-TV Cincinnati, WHAS-TV Louisville

Baron Hill Leads Mike Sodrel In Biennial IN-9 House Contest: In an election for US House of Representatives in Indiana's 9th Congressional District today, 07/31/08, incumbent Democrat Baron Hill leads Republican Mike Sodrel by 7 points, 49% to 42%. Libertarian Eric Schansberg today takes 4% of the vote; 5% are undecided. Among women, Hill leads by 9 points; among men, Hill leads by 5. Among voters age 18-49, Hill leads by 6; among those 50+, Hill leads by 8. Both Hill and Sodrel hold 8 in 10 of their partisan voters; independents, 14% of the electorate, split evenly between the two, with 9% of independents choosing Libertarian Schansberg. Hill and Sodrel have run against each other in three previous elections; in the last, two years ago, Schansberg also ran, making this year's race an exact rematch of 2006, when Hill Beat Sodrel by 5 points to re-take his seat. Full history of the contest:
  • 1998: Hill first elected, beating Republican Jean Leising, 51% to 48%
  • 2000: Hill re-elected over Republican Michael Bailey, 54% to 44%.
  • 2002: Hill re-elected over Republican Mike Sodrel, 51% to 46%.
  • 2004: Sodrel elected, beating Hill, by a margin of 1,425 votes.
  • 2006: Hill elected, taking seat back from Sodrel, 50% to 45%.

Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed 900 adults from Indiana's 9th Congressional District 07/28/08 through 07/30/08; of the adults, 772 identified themselves as being registered to vote. Of the registered voters, 555 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the November general election.

1
  Asked of 555 Likely Voters
  Margin of Sampling Error for this question = ± 4.2%

If the election for U.S. House of Representatives, were today, would you vote for ... (names rotated) Republican Mike Sodrel? Democrat Baron Hill? Or Libertarian Eric Schansberg?

42%Mike Sodrel (R)
49%Baron Hill (D)
4%Eric Schansberg (L)
5%Undecided

  Complete Interactive Crosstabs
  Statement of Methodology
  © 2008 SurveyUSA / Contractual Obligations
Copyright 2008 The E.W. Scripps Co. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed.
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